SafariSpinSafari| JD contracts focus on month-to-month spreads and basis repairs: trading strategies in the range of 3245 to 4150

News summary

Righteous factors support egg prices, but attention should be paid to the pressure brought by weak demand and growth in breeding profits. JD2406 contract focuses on basis repair and risk controlSafariSpinSafari; JD2407 contract interval operation, target interval 3245-3535SafariSpinSafari; The JD2408 contract focuses on the monthly difference; the JD2409 contract operates short-term, with a target range of 3900-4150. Pay attention to the risks of epidemic, feed prices and changes in demand.

Newsletter text

[Low inventories drive prices upward, investors need to be vigilant about major risk factors] In the current market, the continuation of low inventories has a positive impact on the prices of certain commodities. However, signs of weakness from the demand side and a significant increase in poultry farming profits may lead to a change in market sentiment.

[Risk management is crucial to repair the basis of the JD2406 contract.] For the JD2406 contract, the market is currently in the stage of basis repair, but it needs to be noted that risk management becomes particularly critical as the delivery month approaches.

[Recommended strategy for JD2407 contract: sell high and sell low, pay attention to the range of fluctuations within the week] Investors should adopt a strategy of selling high and sell low on JD2407 contracts, and at the same time pay close attention to the expected price fluctuation range within the week, which is [3245, 3535].

[Pay attention to the monthly difference of the JD2408 contract. There may be opportunities for the positive strategy] Investors in the JD2408 contract should pay close attention to the monthly difference between the JD2409 contract and the JD2409 contract. If the difference is small, it may provide opportunities for the positive strategy.

[The JD2409 contract is dominated by short-term operations, and the expected intra-week fluctuation range is announced] The JD2409 contract may remain volatile in the short term. Investors should focus on short-term operations and pay close attention to the expected intra-week price fluctuation range, which is [3900, 4150].

[Risk warning: Potential diseases and changes in feed costs are key considerations] When making investment decisions, investors need to be alert to potential chicken plague risks and possible changes in feed prices. These factors may lead to unexpected increases on the demand side.

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